Catastrophe (n.) is believed to be possible, even probable, and yet still not believed to likely happen because of a fundamental gap between knowledge and belief.
Catastrophe (n.) is, in the first world, an irruption against a normal background. In the third world, catastrophe designates the ever-present background itself.
A Catastrophe (n.) is not some abrupt event, but is already this life under the shadow of permanent threat.
Catastrophe (n.) is, once it happens, renormalized, perceived as part of the normal run of things, as always-already having been possible.
Catastrophe (n.) can be averted only by first accepting it as destiny: treat the disaster as already written into our future, then act to erase it from the past that leads there.