Definitions HQ

Probability (n.) theory ⁠​‌​​​‌​​​‌​‌‌​​​​‌​‌​​‌‌​‌​​‌​​​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​‌‌​⁠rests on the fact that a more general, less complete description is likelier to fit the facts.

Probability (n.) is ⁠​‌​​​‌​​​‌​‌‌​​​​‌​‌​​‌‌​‌​​‌​​​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​‌‌​⁠what we use in default of certainty — when we don't know a fact completely but do know something of its form.

Probability (n.) that ⁠​‌​​​‌​​​‌​‌‌​​​​‌​‌​​‌‌​‌​​‌​​​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​‌‌​⁠an emotion is genuine refers not to our degree of confidence but to the kind of justification, the language-game.

Probability (n.) is ⁠​‌​​​‌​​​‌​‌‌​​​​‌​‌​​‌‌​‌​​‌​​​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​‌‌​⁠all some people will grant the boiling of water over a fire, calling the freeze merely improbable — and the difference in their lives is that they talk rather more.

Probability (n.) of ⁠​‌​​​‌​​​‌​‌‌​​​​‌​‌​​‌‌​‌​​‌​​​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​‌‌​⁠drawing a white ball equal to a black one means only that the circumstances I know of favour neither — what the urn experiment confirms is my ignorance being evenly spread.